
"So, the question becomes whether the odds of winning are better if you intentionally miss the second free throw, but hit the rim, the opposition gets the rebound, gets off an uncontested shot from beyond half court and makes it… OR… you foul leading by three, the opposition hits their first free throw, intentionally misses the second, gets the rebound, and puts it back in and goes on to win in OT. Both are extremely unlikely. However…"Read two theories here and here. (Thanks, Nikhil)